Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Rios J.
12'
Aguilar F.
16'
Pena J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Junior and Dep. Cali finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Junior
11%
Draws
80%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Junior have managed 1.63 goals a game lately — Dep. Cali are scoring more at 1.71.
  • Win probability leans Dep. Cali's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Junior Clean Sheet 13%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Dep. Cali
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Junior
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
0:0
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Junior
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 11 / 100
Dep. Cali 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cali conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Junior has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Dep. Cali
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cali

(Away)
12 Jul
A. Lima
0 : 2
Dep. Cali
24 May
Real Santander
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0
Alianza
15 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 5
Dep. Cali
11 May
Dep. Cali
2 : 0
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)