Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Dep. Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Rios J.
12'
Aguilar F.
16'
Pena J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Junior and Dep. Cali finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Junior
35%
Draws
41%
Dep. Cali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dep. Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cali come out ahead of Junior on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Junior's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Junior Clean Sheet 16%
Dep. Cali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Dep. Cali
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
1:2
Jul 13, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Junior
0:2
Jan 26, 2025 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
0:0
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Junior vs Dep. Cali
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Cali vs Junior
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dep. Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 36 / 100
Dep. Cali 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Dep. Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cali conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Junior has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Dep. Cali
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2
Junior
24 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Once Caldas
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Dep. Cali

(Away)
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
11 Sept
Millonarios
1 : 1
Dep. Cali
08 Sept
Atl. Nacional
3 : 0
Dep. Cali
31 Aug
Dep. Cali
1 : 1
Bucaramanga
27 Aug
Atl. Nacional
2 : 1
Dep. Cali
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)