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Junior vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Barrios C.
42'
Gomez P.
46'
Sub
Castrillon B. In: Canchimbo J.
Out: Castrillon B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Junior and Once Caldas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Junior
30%
Draws
41%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Once Caldas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Junior's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Junior Clean Sheet 18%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Once Caldas
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
1:1
May 14, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Once Caldas
2:2
May 10, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
0:1
Feb 12, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Junior
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Top Goalscorer Paiva G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 41 / 100
Once Caldas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Junior's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Once Caldas has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Junior went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Once Caldas
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
14 Oct
Junior
1 : 1
Dep. Pereira
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2
Inter Bogotá
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1
Junior
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
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Once Caldas

(Away)
10 Oct
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Llaneros
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)