Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena

Junior

1 - 1

Palmeiras

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Gutierrez T.

(Penalty)

14'

Perez K.

42'

Gutierrez T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Junior

35%

Draws

42%

Palmeiras

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palmeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Palmeiras carry the better recent record into this one.
36% — that's where the model lands on Junior taking it.
Palmeiras arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Palmeiras, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Palmeiras have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Junior Clean Sheet 16%

Palmeiras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Junior	Palmeiras
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	9	15
Draws	8	12
Losses	11	4
Goals Scored	1.5	1.74
Goals Conceded	1.46	0.74
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

4:1

Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Palmeiras

1:1

Apr 11, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

3:0

Mar 7, 2019 Copa Libertadores

Junior vs Palmeiras

0:2

May 17, 2018 Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras vs Junior

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Junior Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Palmeiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 36 / 100

Palmeiras 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Junior Palmeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Junior's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Junior stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Palmeiras

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)

20 Sept

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

1 : 4

Junior

13 Sept

Alianza

1 : 0

Junior

06 Sept

Junior

3 : 3

Jaguares de Cordoba

29 Aug

Junior

1 : 1

Santa Fe

26 Aug

America De Cali

4 : 2

Junior

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Palmeiras

(Away)

20 Sept

Gremio

0 : 0

Palmeiras

16 Sept

LDU Quito

3 : 3

Palmeiras

12 Sept

Palmeiras

2 : 0

Sao Paulo

09 Sept

Palmeiras

1 : 0

LDU Quito

06 Sept

Botafogo RJ

0 : 0

Palmeiras

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