Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Murillo E.
21'
21'
Sub
Castrillon B. In: Canchimbo J.
Out: Castrillon B.
40'
40'
Repetto P.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Junior and Santa Fe finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
30%
56%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Junior haven't matched Santa Fe's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Junior Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Junior | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:1
May 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Super Cup
Santa Fe vs Junior
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Junior Compare
Top Goalscorer Muriel L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Fagundez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Junior 32 / 100
Santa Fe 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Junior Santa Fe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Junior scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Santa Fe has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Junior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Junior VS Santa Fe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Junior
(Home) 19 Oct
Dep. Cali
0 : 0 Junior
14 Oct
Junior
1 : 1 Dep. Pereira
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2 Inter Bogotá
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1 Junior
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
Page 1 of 6
14 Oct
Junior
1 : 1 Dep. Pereira
10 Oct
Junior
2 : 2 Inter Bogotá
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3 Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
Santa Fe
(Away) 22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0 Santa Fe
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0 Santa Fe
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9:19 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
