Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Santa Fe

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Sun, May 24, 2026
1 - 0
01:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Mafla C. In: Palacios L.
Out: Mafla C.
8'
Palacios H.
15'
Angel Bernal F. S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Junior advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Junior
20%
Draws
38%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Junior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Junior carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Junior taking it.
  • Junior have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Junior Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Super Cup
Santa Fe vs Junior
3:0
Jan 16, 2026 Super Cup
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 41 / 100
Santa Fe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Attacking prowess: Junior scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Junior remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Santa Fe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
26 Jul
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1
Junior
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
08 Jun
Atl. Nacional
1 : 0
Junior
03 Jun
Junior
3 : 0
Atl. Nacional
28 May
Palmeiras
4 : 1
Junior
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 1
Santa Fe
24 Jul
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Caracas
28 May
Penarol
0 : 1
Santa Fe
24 May
Junior
1 : 0
Santa Fe
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional9
Inter Bogotá2
Dep. Pasto0
Deportes Tolima3
Junior3
Once Caldas2
America De Cali1
Santa Fe5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional4
Deportes Tolima1
Junior2
Santa Fe1
Final
Atl. Nacional1
Junior3