Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Junior vs Santa Fe

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla
Sun, May 24, 2026
1 - 0
01:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sub
Mafla C. In: Palacios L.
Out: Mafla C.
8'
Palacios H.
15'
Angel Bernal F. S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Junior
30%
Draws
41%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Santa Fe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Junior, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Junior Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Junior Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:1
May 24, 2026 Primera A
Junior vs Santa Fe
1:0
May 17, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Junior
2:1
Jan 22, 2026 Super Cup
Santa Fe vs Junior
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Junior 41 / 100
Santa Fe 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Junior Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Junior Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Junior scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Santa Fe has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Junior remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Junior VS Santa Fe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Junior

(Home)
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4
Junior
13 Sept
Alianza
1 : 0
Junior
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Aug
Junior
1 : 1
Santa Fe
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2
Junior
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe

(Away)
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Atl. Nacional 9
Inter Bogotá 2
Dep. Pasto 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Junior 3
Once Caldas 2
America De Cali 1
Santa Fe 5
Semi-finals
Atl. Nacional 4
Deportes Tolima 1
Junior 2
Santa Fe 1
Final
Atl. Nacional 1
Junior 3