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Jupiter vs Palamos CF

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 game between Jupiter and Palamos CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palamos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Jupiter
15%
Draws
39%
Palamos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jupiter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Palamos CF's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Jupiter have produced (0.83).
  • Jupiter are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Palamos CF have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Jupiter Clean Sheet 16%
Palamos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jupiter Palamos CF
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 6
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Jupiter
1:2
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Jupiter vs Palamos CF
1:3
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Jupiter vs Palamos CF
1:2
Oct 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Palamos CF vs Jupiter
2:1
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Jupiter vs Palamos CF
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jupiter 39 / 100
Palamos CF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jupiter Palamos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jupiter Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palamos CF has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Jupiter's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jupiter went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jupiter VS Palamos CF
2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Jupiter

(Home)
27 Sept
Jupiter
2 : 1
UE Castelldefels
19 Sept
Jupiter
2 : 3
Sant Andreu
14 May
Jupiter
1 : 4
Peralada
07 May
La Jonquera
0 : 0
Jupiter
30 Apr
Jupiter
2 : 1
Sabadell B
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Palamos CF

(Away)
17 Aug
Palamos CF
1 : 4
Sant Andreu
05 Jan
Lausanne
3 : 1
Palamos CF
10 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 3
Terrassa
07 Aug
Palamos CF
2 : 1
Olot
27 Jul
Palamos CF
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 21 15 2 62:26 78
2 Gava 38 18 15 5 69:38 69
3 CE Europa 38 18 14 6 60:33 68
4 Montanesa 38 19 8 11 52:35 65
5 FC Vilafranca 38 19 7 12 68:55 64
6 Sabadell B 38 17 11 10 57:41 62
7 Sant Andreu 38 16 8 14 54:46 56
8 Cerdanyola del Valles 38 15 9 14 52:50 54
9 UE Figueres 38 15 8 15 48:40 53
10 Jupiter 38 15 5 18 60:68 50
11 FC Asco 38 13 11 14 35:43 50
12 Manlleu AEC 38 15 4 19 44:58 49
13 Peralada 38 11 14 13 50:54 47
14 Terrassa 38 14 5 19 43:61 47
15 Palamos CF 38 10 16 12 54:54 46
16 Santfeliuenc 38 11 12 15 47:55 45
17 Granollers 38 12 8 18 52:63 44
18 UE Rubi 38 10 10 18 38:57 40
19 CD Morell 38 8 6 24 29:70 30
20 CD Masnou 38 6 8 24 40:67 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)