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Juv. Evora vs Aljustrelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juv. Evora host Aljustrelense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Juv. Evora at 1.51 goals for, 1.14 against; Aljustrelense at 0.67 for, 1.89 against. Head-to-head, Juv. Evora have won 1 to Aljustrelense's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2021, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.79 xG vs 0.85) point toward Juv. Evora. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Juv. Evora
30%
Draws
31%
Aljustrelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juv. Evora lately — more wins on the board than Aljustrelense.
  • Juv. Evora are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 20%
Aljustrelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Aljustrelense
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.51 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Aljustrelense vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Sep 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Juv. Evora vs Aljustrelense
3:1
Sep 13, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Aljustrelense vs Juv. Evora
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 76 / 100
Aljustrelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Aljustrelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juv. Evora's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aljustrelense conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Juv. Evora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Aljustrelense
2 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
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Aljustrelense

(Away)
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
20 Sept
AD Limianos
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
13 Sept
Portel
1 : 1
Aljustrelense
30 Aug
Ferreiras
0 : 3
Aljustrelense
23 Aug
Sintrense
4 : 0
Aljustrelense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Imortal 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Amora 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Serpa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
5 Real SC 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
6 Juv. Evora 4 1 2 1 6:7 5
7 Lagoa 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 GD Alcochetense 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
9 Vitoria Setubal 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
10 Portel 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
11 Lajense 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
12 1º Dezembro 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
13 Aljustrelense 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
14 Santa Clara B 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)