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Juv. Evora vs GD Alcochetense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ferreira C.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Palancha T.
56' Event
Ferreira D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between Juv. Evora and GD Alcochetense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juv. Evora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Juv. Evora
15%
Draws
51%
GD Alcochetense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Alcochetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • GD Alcochetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 10%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora GD Alcochetense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs GD Alcochetense
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs GD Alcochetense
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Juv. Evora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elias R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

GD Alcochetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Palancha T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 34 / 100
GD Alcochetense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora GD Alcochetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Alcochetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juv. Evora scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

GD Alcochetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Juv. Evora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS GD Alcochetense
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
01 Nov
Juv. Evora
2 : 0
Imortal
24 Oct
Real SC
4 : 1
Juv. Evora
11 Oct
Juv. Evora
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

GD Alcochetense

(Away)
01 Nov
Amora
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
25 Oct
GD Alcochetense
3 : 1
Serpa
18 Oct
GD Alcochetense
1 : 2
Maritimo
11 Oct
Santa Clara B
2 : 0
GD Alcochetense
27 Sept
Aljustrelense
0 : 2
GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)