Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juv. Evora vs Imortal

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Soares B.
78' Event
Marocas
90' Event
Marocas
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 game between Juv. Evora and Imortal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imortal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Juv. Evora
35%
Draws
27%
Imortal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Juv. Evora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Juv. Evora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Imortal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Imortal
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.47 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Imortal
1:2
Aug 27, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Imortal vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Imortal vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Imortal
1:0
Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Juv. Evora vs Imortal
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Imortal Compare

Top Goalscorer Marocas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 59 / 100
Imortal 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Imortal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juv. Evora scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

Imortal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Juv. Evora stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Imortal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.4
1 Goals Conceded 0.6
88% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
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Imortal

(Away)
13 Sept
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Imortal
06 Sept
Imortal
0 : 2
Sintrense
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Imortal
5 : 0
1º Dezembro
06 Apr
Sintrense
1 : 1
Imortal
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)