Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juv. Evora vs Lagoa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Brandao V.
75' Event
Nicolatti V.
85' Event
Nogueira F. A. d. S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Juv. Evora and Lagoa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juv. Evora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juv. Evora
33%
Draws
27%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juv. Evora come out ahead of Lagoa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Juv. Evora a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juv. Evora here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Lagoa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Lagoa
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Feb 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Lagoa vs Juv. Evora
2:3
Oct 31, 2010 Second Division - Zona Sul
Juv. Evora vs Lagoa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nogueira F. A. d. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolatti V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 50 / 100
Lagoa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EVO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lagoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Juv. Evora stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Juv. Evora's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Lagoa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1
Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Serpa
0 : 3
Juv. Evora
15 Mar
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
GD Alcochetense
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Lagoa

(Away)
18 Apr
Lagoa
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Lagoa
0 : 0
Malveira
15 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 1
Lagoa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louletano26148436:1550
2Malveira26138538:2347
3Alverca B26145749:3247
4Juv. Evora261210436:2346
5GD Alcochetense26118733:2241
6Sintrense26117830:2540
7Lagoa26116944:3439
8O Elvas CAD26971033:2934
9Serpa26971028:3434
10Oriental26711829:3532
11Moncarapachense26710921:2131
12Portimonense B26641619:4222
13Industria26281620:4514
14Vasco da Gama Vidigueira261111420:5614
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)