Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juv. Evora vs Lagoa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Brandao V.
75' Event
Nicolatti V.
85' Event
Nogueira F. A. d. S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Juv. Evora and Lagoa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juv. Evora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Juv. Evora
35%
Draws
25%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juv. Evora come out ahead of Lagoa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Juv. Evora a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Juv. Evora here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Lagoa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.56 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Lagoa
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Juv. Evora
1:1
Feb 27, 2011 Second Division - Zona Sul
Lagoa vs Juv. Evora
2:3
Oct 31, 2010 Second Division - Zona Sul
Juv. Evora vs Lagoa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nogueira F. A. d. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolatti V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 95 / 100
Lagoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juv. Evora's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Lagoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Juv. Evora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Lagoa
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4
Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
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Lagoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)