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Juv. Evora vs Portel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Caldeira K.
70' Event
Ferreira C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Juv. Evora
20%
Draws
20%
Portel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Juv. Evora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Juv. Evora lately — more wins on the board than Portel.
  • Win probability leans Juv. Evora's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Portel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juv. Evora Portel
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 14 1
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Portel
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal
Juv. Evora vs Portel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juv. Evora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portel Compare

Top Goalscorer Caldeira K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juv. Evora 68 / 100
Portel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juv. Evora Portel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juv. Evora scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Portel let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Portel has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juv. Evora VS Portel
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Juv. Evora

(Home)
01 Nov
Juv. Evora
2 : 0
Imortal
24 Oct
Real SC
4 : 1
Juv. Evora
11 Oct
Juv. Evora
3 : 0
Aljustrelense
04 Oct
Lajense
2 : 0
Juv. Evora
20 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 2
Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 6

Portel

(Away)
01 Nov
Serpa
2 : 2
Portel
24 Oct
Portel
1 : 1
Santa Clara B
18 Oct
Lajense
2 : 1
Portel
11 Oct
Imortal
3 : 0
Portel
20 Sept
Olhanense
1 : 0
Portel
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)