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Stadium Background

Juve Stabia vs Cesena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Bastoni S.
46'
Sub
Mannini M. In: Torrasi E.
Out: Mannini M.
46'
Sub
Matheu P. In: Gabrielloni A.
Out: Matheu P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Juve Stabia and Cesena finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juve Stabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Juve Stabia
30%
Draws
34%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juve Stabia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cesena haven't matched Juve Stabia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Juve Stabia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 20%
Cesena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juve Stabia Cesena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Cesena
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Cesena
1:0
May 19, 2024 Super Cup (Serie C)
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Varnier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carissoni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juve Stabia 36 / 100
Cesena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juve Stabia Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juve Stabia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Cesena let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Juve Stabia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juve Stabia VS Cesena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juve Stabia

(Home)
26 Jul
Potenza
0 : 4
Juve Stabia
19 May
Monza
2 : 1
Juve Stabia
16 May
Juve Stabia
2 : 2
Monza
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0
SSD Sampierana
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4
Padova
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)