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Juve Stabia vs Cesena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Castellammare di Stabia
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Bastoni S.
46'
Sub
Mannini M. In: Torrasi E.
Out: Mannini M.
46'
Sub
Matheu P. In: Gabrielloni A.
Out: Matheu P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Juve Stabia and Cesena finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juve Stabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Juve Stabia
35%
Draws
39%
Cesena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cesena haven't matched Juve Stabia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Juve Stabia Clean Sheet 13%
Cesena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juve Stabia Cesena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Cesena
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
1:2
Dec 22, 2024 Serie B
Juve Stabia vs Cesena
1:0
May 19, 2024 Super Cup (Serie C)
Cesena vs Juve Stabia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juve Stabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Varnier M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carissoni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cesena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juve Stabia 31 / 100
Cesena 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juve Stabia Cesena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juve Stabia found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Cesena let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Juve Stabia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Juve Stabia VS Cesena
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Juve Stabia

(Home)
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Juve Stabia
0 : 3
Pisa
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Palermo
1 : 0
Juve Stabia
16 Aug
Frosinone
4 : 1
Juve Stabia
Page 1 of 6

Cesena

(Away)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)