Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs La Fiorita

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Semprini J.
Assist: Felipe J.
44' Event
Ghiggini A.
Assist: Giovagnoli F.
74' Event
Djuric M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with La Fiorita advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Juvenes/Dogana
30%
Draws
47%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • La Fiorita carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Juvenes/Dogana are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • La Fiorita arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fiorita, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 19%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana La Fiorita
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs La Fiorita
1:2
Mar 4, 2026 Coppa Titano
La Fiorita vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs La Fiorita
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs La Fiorita
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghiggini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Semprini J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djuric M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 36 / 100
La Fiorita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

La Fiorita let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Juvenes/Dogana has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS La Fiorita
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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La Fiorita

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3