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Stadium Background

Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juvenes/Dogana host Virtus in the Campionato Sammarinese. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Juvenes/Dogana have averaged 1.19 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Virtus's 2.25 scored and 0.78 conceded. Past meetings favor Virtus slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.31, favoring Virtus. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Juvenes/Dogana
15%
Draws
69%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Virtus lately — more wins on the board than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • Model gives Virtus a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Virtus have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 18%
Virtus Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juvenes/Dogana Virtus
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 9 25
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.19 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2
May 3, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:3
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Virtus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juvenes/Dogana 15 / 100
Virtus 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juvenes/Dogana Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juvenes/Dogana's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Virtus has conceded goals in 50% of their last 36 outings.

Solid form: Juvenes/Dogana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juvenes/Dogana VS Virtus
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Juvenes/Dogana

(Home)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 7

Virtus

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)