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Juventus do Acre vs Nauas EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Acreano 2009
Sun, May 3, 2009
2 - 1
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Juventus do Acre advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Juventus do Acre
15%
Draws
49%
Nauas EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nauas EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Juventus do Acre come out ahead of Nauas EC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Juventus do Acre a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Juventus do Acre have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nauas EC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Juventus do Acre Clean Sheet 20%
Nauas EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus do Acre Nauas EC
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 2.1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2013 Acreano
Juventus do Acre vs Nauas EC
0:2
Mar 9, 2013 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Juventus do Acre
1:5
Apr 22, 2012 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Juventus do Acre
2:2
Mar 15, 2012 Acreano
Juventus do Acre vs Nauas EC
1:1
May 23, 2011 Acreano
Nauas EC vs Juventus do Acre
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus do Acre 85 / 100
Nauas EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus do Acre Nauas EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juventus do Acre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Juventus do Acre scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Nauas EC let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Difficult form: Nauas EC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nauas EC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus do Acre

(Home)
12 May
Juventus do Acre
6 : 3
Andira
01 May
Acreano
2 : 1
Juventus do Acre
28 Apr
Rio Branco AC
3 : 1
Juventus do Acre
18 Apr
Juventus do Acre
0 : 2
Nauas EC
14 Apr
Juventus do Acre
0 : 4
Galvez
Page 1 of 6

Nauas EC

(Away)
15 Sept
Andira
7 : 0
Nauas EC
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
02 Sept
Nauas EC
0 : 10
Atletico Acreano
25 Aug
Nauas EC
3 : 2
Andira
19 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 0
Nauas EC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Juventus do Acre 5
Acreano 4
Rio Branco AC 3
Nauas EC 4
Final
Juventus do Acre 2
Nauas EC 1