Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Juventus U23 vs Sambenedettese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta, Alessandria
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Cerri L.
16' Event
Gunduz T.
31' Event
Guerra S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Juventus U23 and Sambenedettese finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juventus U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Juventus U23
30%
Draws
37%
Sambenedettese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambenedettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Juventus U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Juventus U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus U23 Sambenedettese
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.32 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Sambenedettese
4:2
Sep 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Juventus U23
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cerri L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Zini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piccoli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus U23 36 / 100
Sambenedettese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus U23 Sambenedettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus U23's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sambenedettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Juventus U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Juventus U23 VS Sambenedettese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Juventus U23

(Home)
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0
Novara
16 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 2
Forli FC
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
06 May
Juventus U23
0 : 2
Pianese
Page 1 of 6

Sambenedettese

(Away)
23 Aug
Sambenedettese
2 : 2
Forli FC
16 Aug
Pescara
0 : 1
Sambenedettese
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0
Lanciano
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5
Avellino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)