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Juventus W vs AS Roma W

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Women Stadio Romeo Menti
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Juventus W play AS Roma W in the Coppa Italia Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Juventus W averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. AS Roma W averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Juventus W won 2, AS Roma W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Juventus W and 1.38 for AS Roma W. This points to a AS Roma W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Juventus W
20%
Draws
42%
AS Roma W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Juventus W picked up more points recently compared to AS Roma W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Juventus W Clean Sheet 17%
AS Roma W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Juventus W AS Roma W
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 21 22
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.86 1.94
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Coppa Italia Women
Juventus W vs AS Roma W
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie A Women
Juventus W vs AS Roma W
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Super Cup Women
Juventus W vs AS Roma W
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Serie A Women
AS Roma W vs Juventus W
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A Cup Women
Juventus W vs AS Roma W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Juventus W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AS Roma W Compare

Top Goalscorer Giugliano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Juventus W 38 / 100
AS Roma W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Juventus W AS Roma W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: AS Roma W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Juventus W attacking → ← attacking AS Roma W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventus W scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

AS Roma W let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Juventus W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AS Roma W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 73
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88