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Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Maatouk H.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Malick Tall E.
Assist: Nassar N.
80' Event
Bou Saleh M.
Assist: Bader K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Jwayya SC and Al Ansar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ansar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Jwayya SC
30%
Draws
51%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Ansar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al Ansar have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Jwayya SC Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Jwayya SC Al Ansar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.3 2.26
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
1:2
Jul 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
2:0
Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Jwayya SC
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Jwayya SC vs Al Ansar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Jwayya SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Malick Tall E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bou Saleh M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Jwayya SC 14 / 100
Al Ansar 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Jwayya SC Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jwayya SC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Al Ansar has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Jwayya SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Jwayya SC VS Al Ansar
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Jwayya SC

(Home)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Jwayya SC
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
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Al Ansar

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 27 20 5 2 64:16 39
2 Nejmeh SC 27 17 6 4 50:15 34
3 Jwayya SC 27 12 7 8 37:22 24
4 Al Ahed 27 13 4 10 41:34 23
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)