Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs Fram

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Thorbjornsson T.
Assist: Asgrimsson H.
8' Event
Steingrimsson H.
Assist: Heidarsson O.
17' Event
Hauksson S.

AI Match Summary

Fram in this Besta deild karla matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
KA Akureyri
35%
Draws
40%
Fram
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • KA Akureyri haven't matched Fram's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fram's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri Fram
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs KA Akureyri
2:2
Jun 15, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Fram
3:4
Aug 24, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Fram
2:0
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs KA Akureyri
1:2
May 15, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs Fram
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Steingrimsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hauksson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorbjornsson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonasson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 26 / 100
Fram 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri Fram

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

KA Akureyri scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

KA Akureyri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS Fram
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4
KA Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

Fram

(Away)
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)