Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KA Akureyri vs IBU

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2023 Akureyrarvöllur, Akureyri
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Petersen P.
13' Event
Brkovic D.
27' Event
Petersen P.

AI Match Summary

KA Akureyri in this Icelandic Cup 2023 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
KA Akureyri
15%
Draws
26%
IBU
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KA Akureyri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • KA Akureyri have won more games recently than IBU.
  • Win probability leans KA Akureyri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • KA Akureyri have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KA Akureyri, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 13%
IBU Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KA Akureyri IBU
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 10 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.77 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs IBU
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Petersen P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Brkovic D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

IBU Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KA Akureyri 84 / 100
IBU 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KA Akureyri IBU

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KA Akureyri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IBU's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 11 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

KA Akureyri found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: KA Akureyri stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KA Akureyri VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KA Akureyri

(Home)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 7

IBU

(Away)
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
29 Mar
IBU
0 : 6
Hviti
06 Apr
Kari
5 : 0
IBU
19 Apr
KA Akureyri
5 : 0
IBU
08 Apr
IBU
4 : 3
KA Asvellir
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 7
Hafnir 0
IR Reykjavik 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBU 7
Hamar 0
KA Asvellir 5
Kormakur/Hvot 4
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 5
Alafoss 3
Hviti 3
GG Grindavik 2
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Dalvik/Reynir -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 2
Tindastoll 7
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ymir 1
KFS 2
Throttur 18
Stokkseyri 0
KB Breidholt 2
Kria 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Berserkir / Midas 1
Smari 2
Reynir 1
Aegir 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
SR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 5
Njardvik 4
Hordur Isafjordur 0
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spyrnir -
Ellidi 0
Arborg 1
Kari 5
Lettir 0
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
Arbaer 2
Olafsvik 1
Reynir Hellissandur 1
KFK Kopavogur 7
Selfoss 7
Alftanes 1
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
TBD -
Magni 4
Samherjar 0
Grotta -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri -
Skallagrimur 2
KFR 3
Vaengirs 4
KH Hlidarendi 5
Sindri -
TBD -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulfarnir 1
Throttur Vogar 3
KV Reykjavik 17
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
TBD -
Haukar 2
Vidir 3
1/32-finals
Kopavogur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 4
KA Asvellir 3
Valur -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 3
Hviti 2
Afturelding 0
Grindavik 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Tindastoll 1
Fram -
TBD -
KFS 0
Throttur 5
Kria 0
Fjolnir 10
TBD -
Breidablik -
Smari 1
Aegir 6
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Augnablik 2
Njardvik 3
KFA 7
Spyrnir 1
Arborg 1
Kari 3
Thor Akureyri 6
Fjallabyggd 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Arbaer 0
KFK Kopavogur 0
Selfoss 8
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Volsungur 0
Magni 1
Grotta 1
Vestri 0
KFR 0
KH Hlidarendi 1
Sindri 4
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 2
KV Reykjavik 0
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Akranes 3
Vidir 0
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 5
KFG Gardabaer 0
KA Akureyri 5
IBU 0
Valur 4
RB Keflavik 1
Grindavik 2
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Fram 2
Throttur 3
Fjolnir 0
Breidablik 2
Aegir 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
Njardvik 4
KFA 1
Kari 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Magni 2
Grotta 4
KH Hlidarendi 3
Sindri 2
Fylkir 4
KR Reykjavik 3
Throttur Vogar 0
Stjarnan 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Keflavik 1
Akranes 0
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 1
KA Akureyri 3
Valur 1
Grindavik 3
Throttur 0
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
Njardvik 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Grotta 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 4
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 0
Quarter-finals
KA Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 3
Hafnarfjordur 1
Thor Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
KR Reykjavik 2
Stjarnan 1
Semi-finals
KA Akureyri 4
Breidablik 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3