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Kaaro Karungi vs Buwambo United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaaro Karungi host Buwambo United in the Big League. Kaaro Karungi are expected to control this from the start. Kaaro Karungi have averaged 0.72 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Buwambo United's 0.4 scored and 2 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.27 vs 0.35, favoring Kaaro Karungi. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Kaaro Karungi
35%
Draws
26%
Buwambo United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kaaro Karungi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Buwambo United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Buwambo United
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 9 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.72 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 0.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 31 / 100
Buwambo United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Buwambo United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaaro Karungi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Buwambo United conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Solid form: Kaaro Karungi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Buwambo United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kaaro Karungi scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Buwambo United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
25% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
01 Nov
Amus College FC
5 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
25 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
2 : 2
Young Elephant Academy
18 Oct
SC Volcanoes
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
13 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

Buwambo United

(Away)
01 Nov
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Iganga United
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
04 Oct
Amus College FC
3 : 0
Buwambo United
27 Sept
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Young Elephant Academy

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)