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Kaaro Karungi vs Catda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kaaro Karungi host Catda in the Big League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Catda have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Kaaro Karungi have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.72. Head-to-head, Kaaro Karungi have won 1 to Catda's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.32 xG vs 1.06) point toward Catda. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Kaaro Karungi
30%
Draws
52%
Catda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Catda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Kaaro Karungi haven't matched Catda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Catda's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Catda Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Catda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Catda
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Big League
Catda vs Kaaro Karungi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 10 / 100
Catda 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Catda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Catda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catda has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Kaaro Karungi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kaaro Karungi scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Catda
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
01 Nov
Amus College FC
5 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
25 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
2 : 2
Young Elephant Academy
18 Oct
SC Volcanoes
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
13 Oct
Kaaro Karungi
0 : 0
Rwenzori Lions
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

Catda

(Away)
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
25 Oct
Catda
4 : 0
Buwambo United
18 Oct
Amus College FC
0 : 1
Catda
11 Oct
Catda
1 : 0
Young Elephant Academy
04 Oct
SC Volcanoes
1 : 0
Catda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)