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Kaaro Karungi vs Kigezi HomeBoyz

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kaaro Karungi
6%
Draws
4%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaaro Karungi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaaro Karungi haven't matched Kigezi HomeBoyz's recent run of results.
  • Kaaro Karungi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kaaro Karungi Clean Sheet 20%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaaro Karungi Kigezi HomeBoyz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Kaaro Karungi
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Kaaro Karungi
0:0
Nov 26, 2024 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
1:0
May 5, 2024 Big League
Kaaro Karungi vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaaro Karungi 85 / 100
Kigezi HomeBoyz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaaro Karungi Kigezi HomeBoyz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Kaaro Karungi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kaaro Karungi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Kigezi HomeBoyz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Kigezi HomeBoyz let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kaaro Karungi VS Kigezi HomeBoyz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaaro Karungi

(Home)
06 Jun
Bunyaruguru
0 : 1
Kaaro Karungi
24 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Kiyinda Boys
17 May
Kaaro Karungi
1 : 0
Wakiso Giants
10 May
Ntugasaze
0 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
03 May
Kaaro Karungi
3 : 0
Kataka
Page 1 of 6

Kigezi HomeBoyz

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
2 : 0
Blacks Power
03 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
1 : 0
Iganga United
26 Apr
Onduparaka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)