Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kabati vs Naivas FC

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Kabati and Naivas FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kabati
20%
Draws
40%
Naivas FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Naivas FC come out ahead of Kabati on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kabati Clean Sheet 12%
Naivas FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Naivas FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Naivas FC
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Super League
Naivas FC vs Kabati
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 30 / 100
Naivas FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Naivas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naivas FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Naivas FC let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Kabati has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Naivas FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

Naivas FC

(Away)
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
28 May
Mwatate United
0 : 2
Naivas FC
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)