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Kabati vs Nzoia Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Kabati
15%
Draws
32%
Nzoia Sugar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kabati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nzoia Sugar have won more games recently than Kabati.
  • Model gives Kabati a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Kabati Clean Sheet 19%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabati Nzoia Sugar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Kabati vs Nzoia Sugar
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Kabati
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabati 67 / 100
Nzoia Sugar 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabati Nzoia Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kabati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabati's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nzoia Sugar has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Kabati remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Nzoia Sugar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kabati VS Nzoia Sugar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabati

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Kabati
2 : 1
Naivas FC
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
Page 1 of 6

Nzoia Sugar

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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