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Kabure EC vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 game between Kabure EC and Araguaina finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kabure EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Kabure EC
35%
Draws
30%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Araguaina a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kabure EC Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabure EC Araguaina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2009 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Araguaina
0:0
Apr 2, 2009 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Kabure EC
3:1
Apr 13, 2008 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Araguaina
1:1
Mar 8, 2008 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Kabure EC
1:1
Apr 7, 2007 Tocantinense
Kabure EC vs Araguaina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabure EC 16 / 100
Araguaina 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabure EC Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabure EC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Araguaina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kabure EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabure EC

(Home)
16 May
Kabure EC
0 : 0
Araguaina
03 May
Kabure EC
2 : 2
Tocantinopolis
01 May
Kabure EC
3 : 0
Ipiranga TO
25 Apr
Tubarao
4 : 1
Kabure EC
22 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Kabure EC
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Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araguaina 10 7 0 3 19:8 21
2 Tocantins 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Tocantinopolis 10 4 1 5 13:13 13
4 Kabure EC 10 4 1 5 11:18 13
5 Tocantins B 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
6 Sao Jose (TO) 10 3 1 6 10:14 10
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmas 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 Gurupi 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
3 Paraiso EC 10 3 3 4 11:13 12
4 Juventude TO 10 2 5 3 9:14 11
5 Ipiranga TO 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
6 Interporto 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2007 (Second stage)