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Kabylie vs Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Hocine Ait Ahmed Stadium, Tizi Ouzou
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Mendil A. In: Ferrahi M.
Out: Mendil A.
45'
Ferrahi M.
45' Event
Mahious A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Kabylie and Oran finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kabylie
30%
Draws
37%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oran come out ahead of Kabylie on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oran's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Kabylie Clean Sheet 21%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kabylie Oran
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 1 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs Oran
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Kabylie
2:0
Mar 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs Oran
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs Kabylie
2:0
Apr 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Kabylie vs Oran
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kabylie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourdim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kabylie 24 / 100
Oran 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kabylie Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kabylie found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Kabylie has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kabylie VS Oran
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kabylie

(Home)
17 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 0
Kabylie
04 Sept
Kabylie
1 : 0
Rouisset
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
Page 1 of 6

Oran

(Away)
08 Oct
Oran
0 : 0
ES Setif
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)