Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KAC Kenitra vs Fath Nador

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
42' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with KAC Kenitra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
KAC Kenitra
11%
Draws
9%
Fath Nador
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: KAC Kenitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KAC Kenitra come out ahead of Fath Nador on wins alone.
  • KAC Kenitra are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • KAC Kenitra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor KAC Kenitra, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 20%
Fath Nador Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KAC Kenitra Fath Nador
Matches Played 32 6
Wins 8 1
Draws 14 1
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2014 Coupe du Trone
KAC Kenitra vs Fath Nador
2:0
Aug 27, 2014 Coupe du Trone
Fath Nador vs KAC Kenitra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KAC Kenitra 76 / 100
Fath Nador 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KAC Kenitra Fath Nador

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KAC Kenitra's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fath Nador's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fath Nador registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

KAC Kenitra VS Fath Nador
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KAC Kenitra

(Home)
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
20 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
2 : 1
KAC Kenitra
Page 1 of 7

Fath Nador

(Away)
16 May
Union Touarga
1 : 0
Fath Nador
10 Feb
Stade Marocain
2 : 1
Fath Nador
31 Aug
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
Fath Nador
27 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 1
KAC Kenitra
16 Aug
Fath Nador
1 : 0
Union de Mohammedia
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Difaa El Jadidi-
TBD-
TBD-
Hassania Agadir-
Mouloudia Oujda1
COD Meknes0
Chabab Mohammedia2
US Taounate3
Ittihad Khemisset3
Union Sale1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra0
Wifaq Bouznika1
Union Ait Melloul2
Olympique Marrakech1
TBD-
Kawkab Marrakech-
Olympique de Safi-
TBD-
Laayoune1
RAC Casablanca3
Wydad Fes-
TBD-
Sidi Kacem0
US Temara3
Youssoufia Berrechid3
Raja Beni Mellal1
Bennour1
Assa4
Moghreb Tetouan-
TBD-
TBD-
FUS Rabat-
Berkane-
TBD-
Chabab Mrirt1
IR Tanger2
Jeunesse Massira3
Chabab Houara0
Dcheira1
Kasba Tadla2
KAC Kenitra-
TBD-
Union de Mohammedia0
Fath Nador1
Souani1
USM Oujda0
TBD-
Hoceima-
FAR Rabat-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympique Khouribga-
Rachad Bernoussi2
Benslimane1
TBD-
Raja Casablanca-
Wydad Athletic-
TBD-
RS Settat0
Jadida1
Sale-
TBD-
TBD-
Maghreb Fez-
1/16-finals
Difaa El Jadidi2
Hassania Agadir0
Mouloudia Oujda1
US Taounate1
Ittihad Khemisset5
Wifaq Bouznika0
Union Ait Melloul0
Kawkab Marrakech3
Olympique de Safi2
RAC Casablanca1
Wydad Fes2
US Temara3
Youssoufia Berrechid4
Assa2
Moghreb Tetouan2
FUS Rabat3
Berkane1
IR Tanger1
Jeunesse Massira0
Kasba Tadla1
KAC Kenitra3
Fath Nador1
Souani0
Hoceima6
FAR Rabat3
Olympique Khouribga1
Rachad Bernoussi0
Raja Casablanca7
Wydad Athletic8
Jadida2
Sale1
Maghreb Fez3
1/8-finals
Difaa El Jadidi5
US Taounate1
Ittihad Khemisset1
Kawkab Marrakech3
Olympique de Safi3
US Temara1
Youssoufia Berrechid2
FUS Rabat3
Berkane6
Kasba Tadla1
KAC Kenitra1
Hoceima4
FAR Rabat4
Raja Casablanca2
Wydad Athletic1
Maghreb Fez2
Quarter-finals
Difaa El Jadidi2
Kawkab Marrakech2
Olympique de Safi0
FUS Rabat1
Berkane5
Hoceima3
FAR Rabat2
Maghreb Fez2
Semi-finals
Difaa El Jadidi3
FUS Rabat3
Berkane2
Maghreb Fez0
Final
FUS Rabat2
Berkane0