Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
KAC Kenitra
20%
Draws
61%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IR Tanger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IR Tanger come out ahead of KAC Kenitra on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on IR Tanger taking it.
  • IR Tanger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IR Tanger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IR Tanger have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 22%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KAC Kenitra IR Tanger
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Coupe du Trone
KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger
1:2
Jul 28, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
4:1
Feb 22, 2017 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
1:0
Sep 17, 2016 Botola Pro
KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger
0:2
Apr 30, 2016 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KAC Kenitra 21 / 100
IR Tanger 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KAC Kenitra IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IR Tanger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KAC Kenitra scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: IR Tanger conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

KAC Kenitra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KAC Kenitra VS IR Tanger
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KAC Kenitra

(Home)
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
Page 1 of 6

IR Tanger

(Away)
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
19 Sept
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Widad Temara
13 Sept
IR Tanger
3 : 1
Yacoub El Mansour
14 Aug
FUS Rabat
0 : 0
IR Tanger
05 Jul
IR Tanger
2 : 1
COD Meknes
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini 1
Renaissance Zemamra 2
Amal Tiznit 0
Difaa El Jadidi 3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra 0
COD Meknes 2
Moghreb Tetouan 1
FATH Casablanca 0
Olympique de Safi 3
Dcheira 0
Yacoub El Mansour 1
Maghreb Fez 0
Hassania Agadir 3
Mostakbal El Marsa 2
Raja Casablanca 2
Jeunesse Massira 0
KAC Kenitra 1
IR Tanger 2
Berkane 3
Wydad Fes 1
Kawkab Marrakech 3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 1
Rachad Bernoussi 0
FUS Rabat 4
Union Touarga 1
Fath Nador 0
Chabab Mohammedia 0
Chabab Benguerir 3
FAR Rabat 2
Stade Marocain 1
Raja Beni Mellal 0
Wydad Athletic 2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra -
Difaa El Jadidi -
COD Meknes -
Moghreb Tetouan -
Olympique de Safi -
Yacoub El Mansour -
Hassania Agadir -
Raja Casablanca -
IR Tanger -
Berkane -
Kawkab Marrakech -
FUS Rabat -
Union Touarga -
Chabab Benguerir -
FAR Rabat -
Wydad Athletic -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -