Sport Picks

Stadium Background

KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger

Morocco Morocco

Coupe du Trone
Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 2
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with IR Tanger advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
KAC Kenitra
30%
Draws
34%
IR Tanger
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KAC Kenitra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IR Tanger come out ahead of KAC Kenitra on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on KAC Kenitra taking it.
  • IR Tanger arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor IR Tanger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and IR Tanger have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
KAC Kenitra Clean Sheet 16%
IR Tanger Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric KAC Kenitra IR Tanger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Coupe du Trone
KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger
1:2
Jul 28, 2025 Club Friendly
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
4:1
Feb 22, 2017 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
1:0
Sep 17, 2016 Botola Pro
KAC Kenitra vs IR Tanger
0:2
Apr 30, 2016 Botola Pro
IR Tanger vs KAC Kenitra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

KAC Kenitra 36 / 100
IR Tanger 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
KAC Kenitra IR Tanger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: KAC Kenitra scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: IR Tanger conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

KAC Kenitra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

KAC Kenitra VS IR Tanger
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

KAC Kenitra

(Home)
22 Jul
KAC Kenitra
2 : 0
AS Mansouria
18 Jul
AS Mansouria
0 : 0
KAC Kenitra
05 Jul
Chabab Mohammedia
4 : 3
KAC Kenitra
27 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 2
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
20 Jun
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
2 : 1
KAC Kenitra
Page 1 of 6

IR Tanger

(Away)
05 Jul
IR Tanger
2 : 1
COD Meknes
02 Jul
Union Touarga
1 : 0
IR Tanger
28 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 1
Raja Casablanca
25 Jun
Dcheira
2 : 0
IR Tanger
21 Jun
IR Tanger
1 : 0
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Wydad Serghini1
Renaissance Zemamra2
Amal Tiznit0
Difaa El Jadidi3
Chabab Atlas Khenifra0
COD Meknes2
Moghreb Tetouan1
FATH Casablanca0
Olympique de Safi3
Dcheira0
Yacoub El Mansour1
Maghreb Fez0
Hassania Agadir3
Mostakbal El Marsa2
Raja Casablanca2
Jeunesse Massira0
KAC Kenitra1
IR Tanger2
Berkane3
Wydad Fes1
Kawkab Marrakech3
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem1
Rachad Bernoussi0
FUS Rabat4
Union Touarga1
Fath Nador0
Chabab Mohammedia0
Chabab Benguerir3
FAR Rabat2
Stade Marocain1
Raja Beni Mellal0
Wydad Athletic2
1/8-finals
Renaissance Zemamra-
Difaa El Jadidi-
COD Meknes-
Moghreb Tetouan-
Olympique de Safi-
Yacoub El Mansour-
Hassania Agadir-
Raja Casablanca-
IR Tanger-
Berkane-
Kawkab Marrakech-
FUS Rabat-
Union Touarga-
Chabab Benguerir-
FAR Rabat-
Wydad Athletic-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-