Sport Picks
Kachin United vs Ayeyawady - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Myanmar
MNL League Cup 
Match Events
39'
39'
Naing A. K.
42'
42'
Naing A. K.
51'
51'
Zaw N. H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-7. This leg finished 0-7.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayeyawady
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Kachin United haven't matched Ayeyawady's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ayeyawady's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ayeyawady arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ayeyawady, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ayeyawady here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 20%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kachin United | Ayeyawady |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Ayeyawady
0:7
Nov 27, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Ayeyawady
1:2
Jun 27, 2023 National League
Ayeyawady vs Kachin United
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kachin United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Ayeyawady Compare
Top Goalscorer Naing A. K.
3 Goals Assists Leader Zaw N. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kachin United 10 / 100
Ayeyawady 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kachin United Ayeyawady
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
Ayeyawady's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.
Difficult form: Ayeyawady registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Kachin United found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Ayeyawady
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Kachin United
(Home) 21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0 Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7 Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0 Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2 Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1 Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7 Ayeyawady
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2 Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1 Glory Goal
14 May
Kachin United
1 : 2 Shan United
08 May
Kachin United
0 : 5 Rakhine United
Page 1 of 3
Ayeyawady
(Away) 06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5 Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1 Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1 Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0 Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1 Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 8
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1 Ayeyawady
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1 Ayeyawady
26 Feb
Thitsar Arman
0 : 0 Ayeyawady
24 Jan
Hantharwady United
1 : 3 Ayeyawady
29 Dec
Rakhine United
1 : 1 Ayeyawady
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shan United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Dagon Port | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 3 | Thitsar Arman | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 4 | University | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Young Boy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:38 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ayeyawady | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Yangon Royals | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Mahar United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Kachin United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:16 | 1 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rakhine United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Hantharwady United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Ispe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Chinland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 5 | Glory Goal | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:18 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yadanarbon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Myawady | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Dagon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Yarmanya United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 4 |
| 5 | Silver Stars | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:27 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
