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Kachin United vs Ayeyawady - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Ko K.
62' Event
Thiha A.
90' Event
Yan P. S.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Kachin United and Ayeyawady finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ayeyawady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kachin United
20%
Draws
60%
Ayeyawady
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ayeyawady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ayeyawady come out ahead of Kachin United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ayeyawady's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ayeyawady have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 20%
Ayeyawady Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kachin United Ayeyawady
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2025 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Ayeyawady
0:7
Nov 27, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Ayeyawady
1:2
Jun 27, 2023 National League
Ayeyawady vs Kachin United
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kachin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ayeyawady Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yan P. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kachin United 10 / 100
Ayeyawady 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kachin United Ayeyawady

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ayeyawady Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Ayeyawady has conceded goals in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Difficult form: Ayeyawady registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kachin United scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ayeyawady
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kachin United

(Home)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
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Ayeyawady

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
13 Mar
Ayeyawady
5 : 0
Yarmanya United
05 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 19 3 0 62:19 60
2 Yangon United 22 16 3 3 57:13 51
3 Hantharwady United 22 12 1 9 35:25 37
4 Ispe 22 9 5 8 38:31 32
5 Dagon 22 9 4 9 33:31 31
6 Myawady 22 9 4 9 34:38 31
7 Mahar United 22 8 6 8 28:37 30
8 Rakhine United 22 7 6 9 32:38 27
9 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 35:44 26
10 Yadanarbon 22 5 8 9 25:32 23
11 Chinland 22 3 3 16 22:70 12
12 Kachin United 22 2 4 16 17:40 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)