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Kachin United vs Glory Goal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Kyaw Y.
90' Event
Hein T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Kachin United
30%
Draws
23%
Glory Goal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kachin United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Glory Goal haven't matched Kachin United's recent run of results.
  • Kachin United are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Kachin United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 17%
Glory Goal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kachin United Glory Goal
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 6 2
Draws 5 1
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.58
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2024 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Glory Goal
1:1
Apr 5, 2024 MNL League Cup
Glory Goal vs Kachin United
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kachin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hein T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Glory Goal Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyaw Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kachin United 41 / 100
Glory Goal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kachin United Glory Goal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Glory Goal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 12 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Glory Goal's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kachin United scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kachin United VS Glory Goal
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kachin United

(Home)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

Glory Goal

(Away)
21 May
Glory Goal
1 : 2
Chinland
11 May
Glory Goal
0 : 3
Ispe
05 May
Rakhine United
8 : 0
Glory Goal
30 Apr
Hantharwady United
5 : 0
Glory Goal
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)