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Kachin United vs Ispe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tun Thu Rein
23' Event
Win Khaing Ye
37' Event
Nyi N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ispe in this National League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ispe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Kachin United
20%
Draws
60%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ispe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Kachin United haven't matched Ispe's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ispe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 14%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kachin United Ispe
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Ispe
2:4
Mar 10, 2023 National League
Ispe vs Kachin United
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kachin United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Tun Thu Rein
2 Goals
Assists Leader Win Khaing Ye
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kachin United 10 / 100
Ispe 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kachin United Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ispe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ispe has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: Ispe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kachin United's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ispe
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Kachin United

(Home)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

Ispe

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
29 Aug
Ayeyawady
2 : 1
Ispe
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 19 3 0 62:19 60
2 Yangon United 22 16 3 3 57:13 51
3 Hantharwady United 22 12 1 9 35:25 37
4 Ispe 22 9 5 8 38:31 32
5 Dagon 22 9 4 9 33:31 31
6 Myawady 22 9 4 9 34:38 31
7 Mahar United 22 8 6 8 28:37 30
8 Rakhine United 22 7 6 9 32:38 27
9 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 35:44 26
10 Yadanarbon 22 5 8 9 25:32 23
11 Chinland 22 3 3 16 22:70 12
12 Kachin United 22 2 4 16 17:40 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)