Sport Picks
Kachin United vs Mahar United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Myanmar
MNL League Cup 
Match Events
5'
5'
Thu Kaung Myat
42'
42'
86'
86'
Naing T. S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mahar United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mahar United come out ahead of Kachin United on wins alone.
- Model gives Mahar United a 60% chance of winning this.
- Mahar United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mahar United, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mahar United have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 13%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kachin United | Mahar United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2025 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Mahar United
1:2
Jul 23, 2023 National League
Mahar United vs Kachin United
3:1
Feb 28, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Mahar United
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kachin United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Mahar United Compare
Top Goalscorer Thu Kaung Myat
1 Goals Assists Leader Naing T. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kachin United 10 / 100
Mahar United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kachin United Mahar United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mahar United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mahar United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 36 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Mahar United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Kachin United found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Mahar United
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Kachin United
(Home) 21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0 Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7 Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0 Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2 Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1 Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7 Ayeyawady
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2 Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1 Glory Goal
14 May
Kachin United
1 : 2 Shan United
08 May
Kachin United
0 : 5 Rakhine United
Page 1 of 3
Mahar United
(Away) 07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4 Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0 Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1 Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1 Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0 Mahar United
Page 1 of 8
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4 Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0 Mahar United
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1 Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0 Mahar United
15 Feb
Hantharwady United
0 : 0 Mahar United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shan United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Dagon Port | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 3 | Thitsar Arman | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 4 | University | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Young Boy | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:38 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ayeyawady | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Yangon Royals | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1:1 | 4 |
| 4 | Mahar United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Kachin United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:16 | 1 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rakhine United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Hantharwady United | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Ispe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Chinland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 5 | Glory Goal | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:18 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yadanarbon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Myawady | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Dagon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Yarmanya United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 4 |
| 5 | Silver Stars | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7:27 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup (Play Offs)
