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Kachin United vs Rainbow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Own Goal
38' Event
Lum S. G.
45' Event
Aung Z. M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Kachin United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kachin United
20%
Draws
0%
Rainbow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kachin United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Rainbow haven't matched Kachin United's recent run of results.
  • Kachin United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Kachin United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kachin United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 20%
Rainbow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kachin United Rainbow
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 6 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.17 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.1 5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2024 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Rainbow
5:0
Mar 5, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rainbow vs Kachin United
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kachin United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aung Z. M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lum S. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78

Rainbow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kachin United 85 / 100
Rainbow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kachin United Rainbow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kachin United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rainbow has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rainbow lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Kachin United scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Kachin United VS Rainbow
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kachin United

(Home)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

Rainbow

(Away)
14 May
Rakhine United
5 : 0
Rainbow
08 May
Glory Goal
2 : 1
Rainbow
02 May
Kachin United
5 : 0
Rainbow
26 Apr
Rainbow
0 : 7
Shan United
31 Mar
Rainbow
2 : 11
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)