Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kadiogo vs Sporting Cascades - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Municipal, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Yao G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Kadiogo and Sporting Cascades finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kadiogo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kadiogo
30%
Draws
41%
Sporting Cascades
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Cascades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Cascades's 0.9 goals per match outpaces what Kadiogo have produced (0.86).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Kadiogo Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kadiogo Sporting Cascades
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.86 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Kadiogo
0:0
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sporting Cascades
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sporting Cascades
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Kadiogo
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Premier League
Kadiogo vs Sporting Cascades
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kadiogo Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sporting Cascades Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kadiogo 41 / 100
Sporting Cascades 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kadiogo Sporting Cascades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadiogo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Kadiogo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kadiogo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Sporting Cascades has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kadiogo VS Sporting Cascades
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kadiogo

(Home)
04 Oct
Kadiogo
0 : 2
USFA
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cascades

(Away)
04 Oct
Sporting Cascades
2 : 3
FocuSport
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
CFFEB
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)