Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kadrina SK Moe vs FCP Parnu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kadrina SK Moe play FCP Parnu in the Estonian Cup 2018/2019. Kadrina SK Moe are favorites here. Recently, Kadrina SK Moe averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. FCP Parnu averaged 1.44 goals scored and 5.89 conceded. In past meetings, Kadrina SK Moe won 1, FCP Parnu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 17, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.56 for Kadrina SK Moe and 2.29 for FCP Parnu. This points to a Kadrina SK Moe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Kadrina SK Moe
15%
Draws
11%
FCP Parnu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kadrina SK Moe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kadrina SK Moe picked up more points recently compared to FCP Parnu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.56 vs 2.29 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 56%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Kadrina SK Moe Clean Sheet 10%
FCP Parnu Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kadrina SK Moe FCP Parnu
Matches Played 6 9
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.44
Goals Conceded 3.33 5.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.33 5.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2018 Estonian Cup
Kadrina SK Moe vs FCP Parnu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kadrina SK Moe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rummo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veskis S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FCP Parnu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kadrina SK Moe 69 / 100
FCP Parnu 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kadrina SK Moe FCP Parnu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadrina SK Moe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kadrina SK Moe & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.9%
1.15
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kadrina SK Moe attacking → ← attacking FCP Parnu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kadrina SK Moe scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

FCP Parnu let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Kadrina SK Moe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FCP Parnu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 3
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
3.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.63