Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019

Narva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kadrina SK Moe play Narva in the Estonian Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kadrina SK Moe averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.33 conceded. Narva averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Kadrina SK Moe won 0, Narva won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 21, 2018 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Kadrina SK Moe and 1.05 for Narva. This points to a Kadrina SK Moe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Kadrina SK Moe

15%

Draws

31%

Narva

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kadrina SK Moe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Kadrina SK Moe picked up more points recently compared to Narva.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Kadrina SK Moe Clean Sheet 22%

Narva Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kadrina SK Moe	Narva
Matches Played	6	30
Wins	3	7
Draws	0	5
Losses	3	18
Goals Scored	1.5	1.47
Goals Conceded	3.33	2.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2018 Estonian Cup

Kadrina SK Moe vs Narva

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kadrina SK Moe Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Narva Compare

Top Goalscorer Proshin D.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Golovljov E.

3 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kadrina SK Moe 53 / 100

Narva 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kadrina SK Moe Narva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadrina SK Moe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Kadrina SK Moe & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kadrina SK Moe attacking → ← attacking Narva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kadrina SK Moe scored in 60% of their last 5 games.

Narva let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Kadrina SK Moe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Narva lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 26

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25