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Kaedi vs Armee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Armee Logo

Armee

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kaedi host Armee in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Kaedi have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Armee's 0.97 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Kaedi have won 3 to Armee's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 21, 2022, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.97 - 1.31) back Kaedi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kaedi
15%
Draws
39%
Armee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Armee lately — more wins on the board than Kaedi.
  • Model gives Kaedi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 18%
Armee Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Armee
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Armee
0:1
Dec 29, 2021 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kaedi
2:1
Feb 3, 2021 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kaedi
0:1
Dec 2, 2020 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Armee
2:1
May 4, 2019 Ligue 1
Armee vs Kaedi
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 40 / 100
Armee 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Armee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaedi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Armee has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Kaedi's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kaedi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Armee
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Armee

(Away)
30 Jun
Garde Nationale
1 : 2
Armee
25 Jun
Armee
0 : 3
Madine Trarza
19 Jun
Douane
2 : 1
Armee
11 Jun
Armee
3 : 5
Tevragh-Zeina
21 May
Kaedi
0 : 1
Armee
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tevragh-Zeina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nouadhibou 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 SNIM 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kedia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Nouakchott King's 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Armee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Police 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Kaedi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Douane 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Gendrim 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Chemal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Pompiers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Nzeidane 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Nouakchott Academy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)