Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaedi vs Douane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

1 - 1
FT
Douane Logo

Douane

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Rachid A.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Mbodj E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaedi and Douane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Kaedi
30%
Draws
29%
Douane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Douane come out ahead of Kaedi on wins alone.
  • Kaedi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 17%
Douane Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Douane
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.94 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Douane
1:1
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Kaedi
1:0
May 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Douane
2:0
Jan 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Douane vs Kaedi
3:1
May 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Douane vs Kaedi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbodj E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Douane Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 41 / 100
Douane 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Douane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaedi scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Douane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Kaedi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Douane
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Douane

(Away)
19 Sept
Hafia
0 : 1
Douane
05 Sept
Douane
2 : 2
Hafia
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Douane
0 : 1
Gendrim
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)