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Kaedi vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

1 - 1
FT
Ksar Logo

Ksar

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Saine M.
90' Event
Coulibaly M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaedi and Ksar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Kaedi
15%
Draws
26%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaedi come out ahead of Ksar on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Kaedi taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Kaedi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 68%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Ksar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Kaedi
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
1:1
May 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
2:0
Jan 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Kaedi
1:3
May 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Ksar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Coulibaly M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer Saine M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 50 / 100
Ksar 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksar has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Kaedi found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Kaedi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Ksar
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)