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Kaedi vs Police

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

0 - 4
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ba I.
43' Event
Ba I.
75' Event
Ndiaye Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaedi and Police finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Kaedi
20%
Draws
10%
Police
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Kaedi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kaedi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Ligue 1
Police vs Kaedi
0:1
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Police
0:4
Apr 1, 2023 Ligue 1
Police vs Kaedi
0:1
Nov 19, 2022 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Police
0:0
Jun 10, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Kaedi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Ba I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye Y.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 58 / 100
Police 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaedi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Kaedi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Kaedi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Police lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Police
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)