Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kaedi vs Pompiers

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
El Wely E.
78' Event
El Hacen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Kaedi
30%
Draws
37%
Pompiers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pompiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kaedi haven't matched Pompiers's recent run of results.
  • Pompiers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 18%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Pompiers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Pompiers
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Kaedi
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Kaedi
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Pompiers
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Kaedi
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer El Wely E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Pompiers Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hacen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 28 / 100
Pompiers 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Pompiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Kaedi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pompiers has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Kaedi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Pompiers
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 6

Pompiers

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)