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Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Kaedi Logo

Kaedi

2 - 4
FT
Tevragh-Zeina Logo

Tevragh-Zeina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Kaedi and Tevragh-Zeina finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tevragh-Zeina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Kaedi
20%
Draws
40%
Tevragh-Zeina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kaedi haven't matched Tevragh-Zeina's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tevragh-Zeina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 20%
Tevragh-Zeina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaedi Tevragh-Zeina
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.94 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Kaedi
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
1:4
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Tevragh-Zeina vs Kaedi
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs Tevragh-Zeina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaedi 32 / 100
Tevragh-Zeina 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaedi Tevragh-Zeina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Kaedi scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Tevragh-Zeina has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Kaedi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaedi VS Tevragh-Zeina
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaedi

(Home)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

Tevragh-Zeina

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)