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Kaerjeng vs Grevenmacher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
Kaerjeng Logo

Kaerjeng

1 - 0
FT
Grevenmacher Logo

Grevenmacher

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Kaerjeng advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Kaerjeng
15%
Draws
28%
Grevenmacher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaerjeng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Grevenmacher haven't matched Kaerjeng's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kaerjeng a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Kaerjeng have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Grevenmacher, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kaerjeng have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 10%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kaerjeng Grevenmacher
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 2 1
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 2.21 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2020 Luxembourg Cup
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
2:3
Nov 22, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
Kaerjeng vs Grevenmacher
1:0
Apr 12, 2015 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Grevenmacher
1:2
Sep 28, 2014 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
0:2
Mar 8, 2014 BGL Ligue
Grevenmacher vs Kaerjeng
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kaerjeng 83 / 100
Grevenmacher 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kaerjeng Grevenmacher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaerjeng Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaerjeng's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Grevenmacher let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kaerjeng stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kaerjeng VS Grevenmacher
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Kaerjeng

(Home)
20 Sept
Syra Mensdorf
1 : 9
Kaerjeng
16 Sept
Dudelange
2 : 4
Kaerjeng
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Kaerjeng
6 : 0
Hesperange
Page 1 of 7

Grevenmacher

(Away)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Hostert 7
Sporting Bertrange 2
Alliance Aischdall 1
TBD -
Luxembourg City -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Lorentzweiler 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Hesperange 3
Alisontia Steinsel 2
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
UNA Strassen -
TBD -
US Sandweiler 3
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Bissen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
AS Hosingen 3
FC 47 Bastendorf 4
Lintgen 4
Echternach 2
TBD -
Fola -
Dudelange -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Differdange -
TBD -
Union Tetange 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
FC Munsbach 2
Kaerjeng 4
Rumelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Schieren 3
Mondercange 1
TBD -
Wiltz -
Esch 3
Oberkorn 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
FF Norden 3
FC Rodange 91 7
FC Brouch 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 5
1/16-finals
Mondorf 2
Hostert 1
Sporting Bertrange 0
Luxembourg City 4
Victoria Rosport 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Hesperange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
UNA Strassen 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Bissen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Progres Niedercorn 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Lintgen 1
Fola 3
Dudelange 2
Erpeldange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Jeunesse Esch 4
Differdange 4
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher 0
Kaerjeng 1
Rumelange 2
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Wiltz 4
Esch 3
FF Norden 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Union Titus Petange 4
1/8-finals
Mondorf 2
Luxembourg City 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
UNA Strassen 3
Ettelbruck 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Kaerjeng 3
Rumelange 1
Wiltz 0
Esch 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
UNA Strassen 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 4
Kaerjeng 2
Rumelange 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Semi-finals
Mondorf 1
Fola 0
Dudelange 4
Union Titus Petange 0
Final
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 1