Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Costa T.
46'
46'
Sub
Jimmy In: Rouffignac B.
Out: Jimmy
46'
46'
Sub
Xavi In: Aguiar J.
Out: Xavi
AI Match Summary
Kaerjeng in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kaerjeng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kaerjeng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Jeunesse Canach haven't matched Kaerjeng's recent run of results.
- Kaerjeng are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kaerjeng have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Kaerjeng Clean Sheet 20%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kaerjeng | Jeunesse Canach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Jeunesse Canach
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Kaerjeng
1:3
Feb 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Kaerjeng vs Jeunesse Canach
3:0
Apr 2, 2017 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Kaerjeng
2:0
Oct 16, 2016 BGL Ligue
Kaerjeng vs Jeunesse Canach
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kaerjeng Compare
Top Goalscorer Albanese I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Jeunesse Canach Compare
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kaerjeng 85 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kaerjeng Jeunesse Canach
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kaerjeng scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Jeunesse Canach let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Kaerjeng has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kaerjeng VS Jeunesse Canach
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Kaerjeng
(Home) 15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
27 Jun
Progres Niedercorn
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
23 May
Kaerjeng
0 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
17 May
Differdange
2 : 0 Kaerjeng
10 May
Kaerjeng
1 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Kaerjeng
3 : 2 Victoria Rosport
23 May
Kaerjeng
0 : 2 Jeunesse Esch
10 May
Kaerjeng
1 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
26 Apr
Kaerjeng
2 : 5 Racing Luxembourg
12 Apr
Kaerjeng
1 : 2 Bissen
Page 1 of 3
Jeunesse Canach
(Away) 01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2 FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5 Bissen
10 May
Kaerjeng
1 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
03 May
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 0 Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 6
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
10 May
Kaerjeng
1 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
26 Apr
UNA Strassen
2 : 0 Jeunesse Canach
12 Apr
Victoria Rosport
2 : 1 Jeunesse Canach
22 Mar
Mondorf
3 : 1 Jeunesse Canach
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bissen | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 70:27 | 65 |
| 2 | Differdange | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 63:22 | 65 |
| 3 | Mondorf | 30 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 51:24 | 60 |
| 4 | UNA Strassen | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 57:26 | 58 |
| 5 | Dudelange | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:38 | 58 |
| 6 | Jeunesse Esch | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 40 |
| 7 | Racing Luxembourg | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 48:50 | 40 |
| 8 | Kaerjeng | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43:48 | 38 |
| 9 | Hostert | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 35:56 | 36 |
| 10 | Victoria Rosport | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 33:50 | 35 |
| 11 | Progres Niedercorn | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 44:47 | 34 |
| 12 | Hesperange | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:46 | 32 |
| 13 | Jeunesse Canach | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 29:44 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Mamer | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 33:59 | 29 |
| 15 | Union Titus Petange | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26:49 | 25 |
| 16 | FC Rodange 91 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 28:65 | 25 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)