Sport Picks
Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba 
Match Events
45'
45'
Feka K.
Assist: Luhende C.
45'
45'
Ferous S.
51'
51'
Sowah J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
11%
20%
69%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Singida Black Stars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Singida Black Stars have won more games recently than Kagera Sugar.
- Model gives Singida Black Stars a 69% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Kagera Sugar Clean Sheet 10%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kagera Sugar | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 2.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
1:1
Apr 14, 2025 Federation Cup
Singida Black Stars vs Kagera Sugar
2:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Kagera Sugar
2:2
Aug 24, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
0:1
Feb 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Kagera Sugar vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kagera Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Feka K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Singida Black Stars Compare
Top Goalscorer Sowah J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kagera Sugar 10 / 100
Singida Black Stars 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kagera Sugar Singida Black Stars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Singida Black Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Kagera Sugar scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Kagera Sugar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kagera Sugar VS Singida Black Stars
0.71 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Kagera Sugar
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2 Kagera Sugar
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Azam
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
16 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2 Simba
12 May
Kagera Sugar
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
Singida Black Stars
(Away) 13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0 Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7 Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 7
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7 Singida Black Stars
19 Aug
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Singida Black Stars
28 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 4 Singida Black Stars
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 11 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
