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Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Fred Wright Oval, Newcastle
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Burston J.
49' Event
Naylor C.
85' Event
Buck T.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Northern NSW game between Kahibah and Adamstown Rosebud finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Adamstown Rosebud.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Kahibah
15%
Draws
37%
Adamstown Rosebud
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kahibah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kahibah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kahibah taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kahibah Clean Sheet 10%
Adamstown Rosebud Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahibah Adamstown Rosebud
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 2 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Kahibah vs Adamstown Rosebud
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Adamstown Rosebud vs Kahibah
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahibah Compare

Top Goalscorer Burston J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Adamstown Rosebud Compare

Top Goalscorer Naylor C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buck T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahibah 74 / 100
Adamstown Rosebud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahibah Adamstown Rosebud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahibah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahibah found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Adamstown Rosebud let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Kahibah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kahibah VS Adamstown Rosebud
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahibah

(Home)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
29 Aug
Kahibah
3 : 0
New Lambton
22 Aug
New Lambton
1 : 2
Kahibah
16 Aug
Kahibah
2 : 4
Cooks Hill United
12 Aug
Kahibah
1 : 2
Maitland
Page 1 of 6

Adamstown Rosebud

(Away)
16 Aug
Belmont Swansea United
2 : 3
Adamstown Rosebud
12 Aug
Weston Workers Bears
4 : 2
Adamstown Rosebud
08 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 2
Cooks Hill United
01 Aug
Adamstown Rosebud
2 : 1
Valentine
11 Jul
Maitland
3 : 1
Adamstown Rosebud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 22 15 4 3 59:23 49
2 Maitland 22 13 3 6 40:32 42
3 Weston Workers Bears 22 12 5 5 48:33 41
4 Edgeworth Eagles FC 22 11 6 5 41:31 39
5 Belmont Swansea United 22 10 5 7 47:44 35
6 Cooks Hill United 22 9 6 7 43:36 33
7 Valentine 22 7 5 10 22:39 26
8 Lambton Jaffas FC 22 7 4 11 38:33 25
9 Adamstown Rosebud 22 6 6 10 34:45 24
10 Newcastle Olympic 22 5 6 11 39:40 21
11 Kahibah 22 6 2 14 35:53 20
12 Charlestown Azzurri 22 4 2 16 25:62 14
Promotion - NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL Northern NSW (Relegation)