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Kahramanmaras Bld. vs Derincespor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Gurel I.
80'
Gumusel F.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2015/2016 game between Kahramanmaras Bld. and Derincespor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derincespor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Kahramanmaras Bld.
20%
Draws
22%
Derincespor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kahramanmaras Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Derincespor's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what Kahramanmaras Bld. have produced (0.8).
  • Model gives Kahramanmaras Bld. a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Derincespor have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Kahramanmaras Bld. Clean Sheet 20%
Derincespor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmaras Bld. Derincespor
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0.8 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Kahramanmaras Bld. vs Derincespor
0:1
Oct 30, 2015 3. Lig Group 2
Derincespor vs Kahramanmaras Bld.
2:0
Apr 27, 2014 3. Lig Group 1
Derincespor vs Kahramanmaras Bld.
2:0
Dec 8, 2013 3. Lig Group 1
Kahramanmaras Bld. vs Derincespor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmaras Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Derincespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurel I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmaras Bld. 85 / 100
Derincespor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmaras Bld. Derincespor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahramanmaras Bld. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Kahramanmaras Bld. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Derincespor's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derincespor
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmaras Bld.

(Home)
30 Apr
Orhangazispor
0 : 0
Kahramanmaras Bld.
24 Apr
Kahramanmaras Bld.
2 : 1
Sultanbeyli
17 Apr
Kemerspor 2003
3 : 1
Kahramanmaras Bld.
10 Apr
Kahramanmaras Bld.
1 : 0
Manisa FK
06 Apr
Sakaryaspor
0 : 0
Kahramanmaras Bld.
Page 1 of 6

Derincespor

(Away)
29 Apr
Erbaaspor
4 : 1
Derincespor
23 Apr
Derincespor
1 : 3
Pazarspor
14 Apr
Bodrumspor
2 : 0
Derincespor
09 Apr
Derincespor
3 : 1
Dersim Spor
02 Apr
Duzcespor
4 : 2
Derincespor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Etimesgut 36 20 10 6 51:26 70
2 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 36 17 10 9 40:26 61
3 Bodrumspor 36 17 9 10 48:23 60
4 Ofspor 36 16 10 10 43:28 58
5 Cankaya FK 36 15 12 9 43:34 57
6 Orhangazispor 36 14 12 10 40:32 54
7 Kemerspor 2003 36 15 8 13 60:45 53
8 Sancaktepe 36 15 6 15 43:46 51
9 Saraykoy 1926 36 14 8 14 42:39 50
10 Sultanbeyli 36 13 10 13 33:31 49
11 Derincespor 36 13 10 13 35:42 49
12 Sakaryaspor 36 11 15 10 36:42 48
13 Yomraspor 36 13 8 15 39:48 47
14 Payasspor 36 11 13 12 38:39 46
15 Manisa FK 36 12 10 14 37:40 46
16 Kahramanmaras Bld. 36 10 12 14 33:37 42
17 Zaraspor 36 9 6 21 26:49 33
18 Ayvalikgucu 36 7 12 17 40:64 33
19 Gaziosmanpasa 36 6 7 23 30:66 25
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2015/2016 (Play Offs)