Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Wed, Dec 3, 2025
1 - 3
10:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Toklu M.
Assist: Yikilmaz M.
24'
Yikilmaz M.
25'
Fettahoglu M.

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK in this Turkish Cup tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kahramanmarasspor
30%
Draws
34%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kahramanmarasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Kahramanmarasspor.
  • Win probability leans Kahramanmarasspor's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Erzurumspor FK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Erzurumspor FK, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Erzurumspor FK here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 10%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kahramanmarasspor Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 23
Draws 11 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.57 3
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:3
Apr 23, 2017 2. Lig White Group
Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK
0:2
Dec 11, 2016 2. Lig White Group
Erzurumspor FK vs Kahramanmarasspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 34 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kahramanmarasspor Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kahramanmarasspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Erzurumspor FK has conceded goals in 44% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Erzurumspor FK
1.57 Goals Scored 3
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
12 Apr
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 4
Erciyes 38
05 Apr
Mazidagi
0 : 2
Kahramanmarasspor
29 Mar
Kahramanmarasspor
1 : 0
Kirsehir SK
25 Mar
12 Bingol Spor
1 : 1
Kahramanmarasspor
Page 1 of 6

Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
17 Jul
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 0
Rizespor
02 May
Corum FK
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bodrumspor
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
13 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Karakopru7
Hakkari Zap1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)0
Bitlis 19163
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rizespor-
Duzcespor-
TBD-
TBD-
Pendikspor-
Corluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Ayvalikgucu-
Silifke-
TBD-
K. Istklalspor2
Kilis Bld.1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Amedspor-
Antalyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Etimesgut0
Karadeniz Eregli1
Bursaspor7
Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu0
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastamonuspor-
TBD-
Yozgat1
Fatsa Bld.2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vanspor FK-
Bucaspor 19280
Izmir Coruhlu2
Isparta 32 Spor4
Kirsehir SK0
Silivrispor-
TBD-
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor3
Adanaspor AS0
Kurtalanspor1
Sanliurfaspor4
Kestel Cilekspor2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu1
Fethiyespor2
Soke 19700
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor8
Sirnak0
TBD-
Mazidagi-
Menemenspor-
TBD-
Bartinspor1
Eskisehir Anadolu3
Konyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Elazigspor-
TBD-
12 Bingol Spor3
Mardin 19690
Arnavutkoy Bl.2
Beykoz Ishakli Spor3
TBD-
Karacabey Bld.-
Malatya5
Yeni Malatyaspor0
TBD-
Adana 01-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Kirklarelispor1
Galata Spor Kulubu2
TBD-
Beykoz Anadolu-
Balikesirspor-
TBD-
Yesil Yalova FK2
Gemlikspor0
Gaziantep-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ankaragucu2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu3
Guzide Gebzespor6
Bulvarspor2
Kars 36 Spor0
24Erzincanspor1
Bulancakspor2
Hopaspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Igdir FK-
TBD-
Orduspor 1967-
TBD-
TBD-
Erbaaspor2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1
TBD-
Pazarspor-
Sakaryaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kucukcekmece-
TBD-
Inegolspor2
Ezinespor0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bayburt Ozel Idare0
Giresunspor7
TBD-
52 Orduspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sariyer-
Boluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kahta2
Iskenderunspor1
TBD-
Adanademirspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kasimpasa-
Erokspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Agri 1970-
TBD-
TBD-
Batman Petrolspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Edirnespor Genclik0
Soma Spor3
1926 Polatli Belediye1
Cankaya FK2
Amasyaspor-
TBD-
Trabzon FK4
Serhat Ardahanspor0
Kahramanmarasspor1
Osmaniyespor0
Karaman FK2
Suvermez Kapadokyaspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Umraniyespor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kutahyaspor-
TBD-
TBD-
Altinordu-
Karsiyaka-
TBD-
Bursa Yildirimspor2
Altay0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alanyaspor-
Bucak Belediyesi1
Kepez Bld.2
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu2
Nazillispor0
Sivasspor-
TBD-
Cayeli SK1
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu2
Bornova 18773
Afyonspor0
Aliaga2
Inegol Kafkas1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Serik Spor-
Hatayspor-
TBD-
Erciyes 382
Turk Metal 19630
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Keciorengucu-
Kayserispor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu0
Nigde2
TBD-
Aksaray Bld.-
Kirikkale FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Manisa FK-
Ankaraspor1
Eskisehirspor2
Alanya 12210
Muglaspor3
1074 Cankirispor0
Ankara Demirspor3
TBD-
Zonguldak Komurspor-
Tire 2021 FK-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodrumspor-
Quarter-finals
Karakopru2
Bitlis 19161
TBD-
Rizespor-
Duzcespor3
Pendikspor4
Corluspor2
Ayvalikgucu1
Silifke7
K. Istklalspor1
TBD-
Amedspor-
Antalyaspor-
TBD-
Karadeniz Eregli1
Bursaspor2
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastamonuspor3
Fatsa Bld.4
TBD-
Vanspor FK-
Izmir Coruhlu0
Isparta 32 Spor3
Silivrispor1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor2
Sanliurfaspor0
Kestel Cilekspor0
Fethiyespor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor5
Mazidagi0
Menemenspor2
Eskisehir Anadolu1
Konyaspor-
TBD-
Elazigspor2
12 Bingol Spor3
Beykoz Ishakli Spor0
Karacabey Bld.2
Malatya3
Adana 012
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Galata Spor Kulubu1
Beykoz Anadolu5
Balikesirspor1
Yesil Yalova FK2
Gaziantep-
TBD-
Karabuk Idmanyurdu1
Guzide Gebzespor0
24Erzincanspor0
Bulancakspor2
TBD-
Igdir FK-
Orduspor 1967-
TBD-
Erbaaspor2
Pazarspor0
Sakaryaspor-
TBD-
Kucukcekmece1
Inegolspor3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Giresunspor1
52 Orduspor2
TBD-
Sariyer-
Boluspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kahta2
Adanademirspor1
TBD-
Kasimpasa-
Erokspor-
TBD-
Agri 19704
Batman Petrolspor1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Soma Spor1
Cankaya FK3
Amasyaspor0
Trabzon FK1
Kahramanmarasspor1
Karaman FK0
TBD-
Umraniyespor-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK-
TBD-
Kutahyaspor3
Altinordu1
Karsiyaka0
Bursa Yildirimspor1
TBD-
Alanyaspor-
Kepez Bld.1
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu0
Sivasspor2
Siran Yildizspor Kulubu1
Bornova 18770
Aliaga6
TBD-
Serik Spor-
Hatayspor2
Erciyes 383
TBD-
Keciorengucu-
Kayserispor-
TBD-
Nigde3
Aksaray Bld.1
Kirikkale FK0
Manisa FK2
Eskisehirspor0
Muglaspor3
Ankara Demirspor2
Zonguldak Komurspor3
Tire 2021 FK0
Bodrumspor1
Semi-finals
Karakopru0
Rizespor3
Pendikspor3
Corluspor2
Silifke3
Amedspor0
Antalyaspor3
Bursaspor0
Trabzonspor-
TBD-
Fatsa Bld.3
Vanspor FK4
Isparta 32 Spor0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi2
TBD-
Goztepe-
Dersim Spor0
Fethiyespor3
TBD-
Bandirmaspor-
Musspor1
Menemenspor0
Konyaspor4
12 Bingol Spor2
Karacabey Bld.3
Malatya1
TBD-
Kocaelispor-
Beykoz Anadolu1
Yesil Yalova FK3
Gaziantep2
Karabuk Idmanyurdu0
Bulancakspor1
Igdir FK3
Orduspor 19674
Erbaaspor2
Sakaryaspor4
Inegolspor0
TBD-
Genclerbirligi-
Istanbulspor AS-
TBD-
52 Orduspor0
Sariyer2
Boluspor-
TBD-
Kahta3
Kasimpasa1
Erokspor3
Agri 19700
TBD-
F. Karagumruk-
Eyupspor-
TBD-
Cankaya FK2
Trabzon FK0
Kahramanmarasspor4
Umraniyespor0
TBD-
Erzurumspor FK-
Corum FK3
Kutahyaspor0
Bursa Yildirimspor1
Alanyaspor2
Kepez Bld.1
Sivasspor3
Aliaga4
Serik Spor3
Erciyes 382
Keciorengucu5
Kayserispor1
Nigde0
Manisa FK0
Muglaspor2
Zonguldak Komurspor0
Bodrumspor5
Final
Rizespor6
Pendikspor1
Silifke0
Antalyaspor1
Trabzonspor2
Vanspor FK0
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi1
Goztepe0
Fethiyespor4
Bandirmaspor1
Musspor1
Konyaspor4
Karacabey Bld.1
Kocaelispor2
Yesil Yalova FK0
Gaziantep2
Igdir FK3
Orduspor 19672
Sakaryaspor0
Genclerbirligi5
Istanbulspor AS6
Sariyer0
Boluspor2
Kahta1
Erokspor2
F. Karagumruk5
Eyupspor6
Cankaya FK1
Kahramanmarasspor1
Erzurumspor FK3
Corum FK0
Alanyaspor5
Sivasspor1
Aliaga3
Keciorengucu2
Kayserispor0
Muglaspor1
Bodrumspor2