Sport Picks

Turkey

Turkish Cup 2025/2026

Kahramanmarasspor

Wed, Dec 3, 2025

1 - 3

10:30 AM

Erzurumspor FK

Our Tip

Match Events

Toklu M.

Assist: Yikilmaz M.

24'

Yikilmaz M.

25'

Fettahoglu M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Erzurumspor FK in this Turkish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Kahramanmarasspor

30%

Draws

33%

Erzurumspor FK

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kahramanmarasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Kahramanmarasspor.
Win probability leans Kahramanmarasspor's way, sitting at 90%.
Erzurumspor FK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Erzurumspor FK, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Erzurumspor FK here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%

Kahramanmarasspor Clean Sheet 17%

Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kahramanmarasspor	Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	8	22
Draws	11	6
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	1.33	1.97
Goals Conceded	1.6	0.91
Expected Goals (xG)	1.01	1.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2025 Turkish Cup

Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

1:3

Apr 23, 2017 2. Lig White Group

Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

0:2

Dec 11, 2016 2. Lig White Group

Erzurumspor FK vs Kahramanmarasspor

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Toklu M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.78

Avg xA / game 0.51

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Sylla C.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.26

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kahramanmarasspor 84 / 100

Erzurumspor FK 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kahramanmarasspor Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kahramanmarasspor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kahramanmarasspor scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Kahramanmarasspor remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Erzurumspor FK has conceded goals in 50% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kahramanmarasspor VS Erzurumspor FK

1.4 Goals Scored 1.38

1.4 Goals Conceded 0.63

80% Over 1.5 75%

40% Over 2.5 25%

40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

(Home)

18 Apr

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

2 : 2

Kahramanmarasspor

12 Apr

Kahramanmarasspor

1 : 4

Erciyes 38

05 Apr

Mazidagi

0 : 2

Kahramanmarasspor

29 Mar

Kahramanmarasspor

1 : 0

Kirsehir SK

25 Mar

12 Bingol Spor

1 : 1

Kahramanmarasspor

Page 1 of 6

Erzurumspor FK

(Away)

20 Sept

Erzurumspor FK

1 : 0

Samsunspor

11 Sept

Besiktas

3 : 0

Erzurumspor FK

05 Sept

Erzurumspor FK

1 : 0

Konyaspor

28 Aug

Genclerbirligi

1 : 1

Erzurumspor FK

21 Aug

Erzurumspor FK

0 : 4

Galatasaray

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Karakopru 7

Hakkari Zap 1

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0

Bitlis 1916 3

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor -

TBD -

Pendikspor -

Corluspor -

TBD -

Ayvalikgucu -

Silifke -

TBD -

K. Istklalspor 2

Kilis Bld. 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Etimesgut 0

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 7

Bilecik Sogut Spor Kulubu 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor -

TBD -

Yozgat 1

Fatsa Bld. 2

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Bucaspor 1928 0

Izmir Coruhlu 2

Isparta 32 Spor 4

Kirsehir SK 0

Silivrispor -

TBD -

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 3

Adanaspor AS 0

Kurtalanspor 1

Sanliurfaspor 4

Kestel Cilekspor 2

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1

Fethiyespor 2

Soke 1970 0

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 8

Sirnak 0

TBD -

Mazidagi -

Menemenspor -

TBD -

Bartinspor 1

Eskisehir Anadolu 3

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor -

TBD -

12 Bingol Spor 3

Mardin 1969 0

Arnavutkoy Bl. 2

Buyukcekmece Gucu 3

TBD -

Karacabey Bld. -

Malatya 5

Yeni Malatyaspor 0

TBD -

Adana 01 -

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Kirklarelispor 1

Galata Spor Kulubu 2

TBD -

Beykoz Anadolu -

Balikesirspor -

TBD -

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gemlikspor 0

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Ankaragucu 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 3

Guzide Gebzespor 6

Bulvarspor 2

Kars 36 Spor 0

24Erzincanspor 1

Bulancakspor 2

Hopaspor 1

TBD -

Igdir FK -

TBD -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1

TBD -

Pazarspor -

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece -

TBD -

Inegolspor 2

Ezinespor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Bayburt Ozel Idare 0

Giresunspor 7

TBD -

52 Orduspor -

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Iskenderunspor 1

TBD -

Adanademirspor -

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 -

TBD -

Batman Petrolspor -

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Edirnespor Genclik 0

Soma Spor 3

1926 Polatli Belediye 1

Cankaya FK 2

Amasyaspor -

TBD -

Trabzon FK 4

Serhat Ardahanspor 0

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Osmaniyespor 0

Karaman FK 2

Suvermez Kapadokyaspor 1

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor -

TBD -

Altinordu -

Karsiyaka -

TBD -

Bursa Yildirimspor 2

Altay 0

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Bucak Belediyesi 1

Kepez Bld. 2

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 2

Nazillispor 0

Sivasspor -

TBD -

Cayeli SK 1

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 2

Bornova 1877 3

Afyonspor 0

Aliaga 2

Inegol Kafkas 1

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor -

TBD -

Erciyes 38 2

Turk Metal 1963 0

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 0

Nigde 2

TBD -

Aksaray Bld. -

Kirikkale FK -

TBD -

Manisa FK -

Ankaraspor 1

Eskisehirspor 2

Alanya 1221 0

Muglaspor 3

1074 Cankirispor 0

Ankara Demirspor 3

TBD -

Zonguldak Komurspor -

Tire 2021 FK -

TBD -

Bodrumspor -

Quarter-finals

Karakopru 2

Bitlis 1916 1

TBD -

Rizespor -

Duzcespor 3

Pendikspor 4

Corluspor 2

Ayvalikgucu 1

Silifke 7

K. Istklalspor 1

TBD -

Amedspor -

Antalyaspor -

TBD -

Karadeniz Eregli 1

Bursaspor 2

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Kastamonuspor 3

Fatsa Bld. 4

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Izmir Coruhlu 0

Isparta 32 Spor 3

Silivrispor 1

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 2

Sanliurfaspor 0

Kestel Cilekspor 0

Fethiyespor 1

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 5

Mazidagi 0

Menemenspor 2

Eskisehir Anadolu 1

Konyaspor -

TBD -

Elazigspor 2

12 Bingol Spor 3

Buyukcekmece Gucu 0

Karacabey Bld. 2

Malatya 3

Adana 01 2

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Galata Spor Kulubu 1

Beykoz Anadolu 5

Balikesirspor 1

Yesil Yalova FK 2

Gaziantep -

TBD -

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1

Guzide Gebzespor 0

24Erzincanspor 0

Bulancakspor 2

TBD -

Igdir FK -

Orduspor 1967 -

TBD -

Erbaaspor 2

Pazarspor 0

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece 1

Inegolspor 3

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

Giresunspor 1

52 Orduspor 2

TBD -

Sariyer -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 2

Adanademirspor 1

TBD -

Kasimpasa -

Erokspor -

TBD -

Agri 1970 4

Batman Petrolspor 1

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Soma Spor 1

Cankaya FK 3

Amasyaspor 0

Trabzon FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Karaman FK 0

TBD -

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor 3

Altinordu 1

Karsiyaka 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

TBD -

Alanyaspor -

Kepez Bld. 1

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0

Sivasspor 2

Siran Yildizspor Kulubu 1

Bornova 1877 0

Aliaga 6

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Hatayspor 2

Erciyes 38 3

TBD -

Keciorengucu -

Kayserispor -

TBD -

Nigde 3

Aksaray Bld. 1

Kirikkale FK 0

Manisa FK 2

Eskisehirspor 0

Muglaspor 3

Ankara Demirspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 3

Tire 2021 FK 0

Bodrumspor 1

Semi-finals

Karakopru 0

Rizespor 3

Pendikspor 3

Corluspor 2

Silifke 3

Amedspor 0

Antalyaspor 3

Bursaspor 0

Trabzonspor -

TBD -

Fatsa Bld. 3

Vanspor FK 4

Isparta 32 Spor 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2

TBD -

Goztepe -

Dersim Spor 0

Fethiyespor 3

TBD -

Bandirmaspor -

Musspor 1

Menemenspor 0

Konyaspor 4

12 Bingol Spor 2

Karacabey Bld. 3

Malatya 1

TBD -

Kocaelispor -

Beykoz Anadolu 1

Yesil Yalova FK 3

Gaziantep 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0

Bulancakspor 1

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 4

Erbaaspor 2

Sakaryaspor 4

Inegolspor 0

TBD -

Genclerbirligi -

Istanbulspor AS -

TBD -

52 Orduspor 0

Sariyer 2

Boluspor -

TBD -

Kahta 3

Kasimpasa 1

Erokspor 3

Agri 1970 0

TBD -

F. Karagumruk -

Eyupspor -

TBD -

Cankaya FK 2

Trabzon FK 0

Kahramanmarasspor 4

Umraniyespor 0

TBD -

Erzurumspor FK -

Corum FK 3

Kutahyaspor 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 1

Alanyaspor 2

Kepez Bld. 1

Sivasspor 3

Aliaga 4

Serik Spor 3

Erciyes 38 2

Keciorengucu 5

Kayserispor 1

Nigde 0

Manisa FK 0

Muglaspor 2

Zonguldak Komurspor 0

Bodrumspor 5

Final

Rizespor 6

Pendikspor 1

Silifke 0

Antalyaspor 1

Trabzonspor 2

Vanspor FK 0

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1

Goztepe 0

Fethiyespor 4

Bandirmaspor 1

Musspor 1

Konyaspor 4

Karacabey Bld. 1

Kocaelispor 2

Yesil Yalova FK 0

Gaziantep 2

Igdir FK 3

Orduspor 1967 2

Sakaryaspor 0

Genclerbirligi 5

Istanbulspor AS 6

Sariyer 0

Boluspor 2

Kahta 1

Erokspor 2

F. Karagumruk 5

Eyupspor 6

Cankaya FK 1

Kahramanmarasspor 1

Erzurumspor FK 3

Corum FK 0

Alanyaspor 5

Sivasspor 1

Aliaga 3

Keciorengucu 2

Kayserispor 0

Muglaspor 1

Bodrumspor 2

Kahramanmarasspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey

Kahramanmarasspor

Erzurumspor FK

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Kahramanmarasspor Compare

Erzurumspor FK Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Kahramanmarasspor

Erzurumspor FK

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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